Vol. Iprediction markets edition

The Future Times

Section

Politics

81%certain · Kalshi
BLANCHE TAKES OVER THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT

BLANCHE TAKES OVER THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT

The president's former defense lawyer becomes the loyalist running the nation's law

NEW YORK, January 20, 2029 — Todd Blanche is the next Attorney General, an outcome traders priced at 81 per cent long before the swearing-in. The man who once sat beside Trump at the defense table now runs the building that prosecutes.

The market never wavered. Blanche held at 81 while Lee Zeldin drew 6 and Ron DeSantis barely 3 — a field that stopped being a contest and became a coronation.

Nearly $10 million moved through the question, most of it betting on the lawyer who never left Trump's side. Observers read it plainly: loyalty, promoted to the top of the Justice Department.

Kalshi · 81% probabilityView market ↗

From the edition of Monday, July 20, 2026

41%certain · Kalshi
VANCE SEIZES MAGA CROWN FOR 2028 RACE

VANCE SEIZES MAGA CROWN FOR 2028 RACE

as the young heir apparent eclipses a crowded Republican field

WASHINGTON, Nov. 7 — J.D. Vance is the man to beat. The vice president is the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Republican nomination, and Kalshi's bettors put his odds at 41 percent. More than three million dollars rode on his name alone. The gamblers have crowned the Ohioan the movement's natural heir.

Vance leads Secretary Rubio by 11 points. Rubio holds a solid 30 percent and won't quit. Governor DeSantis trails at a weak 5.5. The rest — Ivanka Trump, Katie Britt — barely register. Analysts already call it a two-man race.

Now comes the primary grind, where paper favorites have collapsed before. Vance must turn betting-market hype into actual delegates. Every strategist remembers the frontrunners who blew it. And 41 percent is a plurality, not a coronation. For now, though, the party machine is swinging behind the kid from Middletown.

Kalshi · 41% probabilityView market ↗

From the edition of Friday, July 17, 2026