Brazil · From the edition of Jul 18, 2026
✳ Dated SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2026 ✳
68%certain · Polymarket
CIRO GOMES TAKES CEARÁ BACK
as the veteran outpolls Governor Elmano de Freitas to reclaim the state where his career began
FORTALEZA, October 4 — Ciro Gomes runs Ceará again, an outcome traders priced at 68 per cent. The win closes a long circle for a man who spent decades chasing bigger offices and losing.
On the exchanges Gomes held 68 per cent even as his number slipped through the week. Observers read the dip as nerves, not doubt.
Four presidential runs ended in defeat. His home state ended in triumph. The wires call it a homecoming — and a warning to the rivals who wrote him off.
Source: Polymarket · 68% probability — View market ↗