Vol. I2026-07-18prediction markets edition

The Future Times

Culture · From the edition of Jul 18, 2026

44%certain · Kalshi

HATHAWAY TAKES SUPPORTING ACTRESS OSCAR

a comeback stamped in gold, sealed while five contenders split a nervous, wide-open field

HATHAWAY TAKES SUPPORTING ACTRESS OSCAR
Anne Hathaway wins the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress.says the market

HOLLYWOOD, March 15 — Anne Hathaway won Best Supporting Actress, an outcome traders priced at 44 per cent. She was the clear favorite in a field where nobody else cracked one in five.

It was a field with no second act. Mariana di Girolamo held 10 per cent, Inde Navarrette 13, and Penélope Cruz slid from 13 to 5 as the money moved. Hathaway simply pulled away.

The buzz started early and never cooled. Observers called the race crowded; the odds called it hers. Traders agreed, and the ballots followed.

Source: Kalshi · 44% probabilityView market ↗