Vol. I2026-07-18prediction markets edition

The Future Times

Culture · From the edition of Jul 18, 2026

37%certain · Kalshi

CALLUM TURNER LANDS 007

The English actor edges Jacob Elordi to inherit the tuxedo, the martini and the license to kill

CALLUM TURNER LANDS 007
Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond.says the market

LONDON, July 20 — The tuxedo fits Callum Turner, an outcome traders priced at 37 per cent as the casting race reached its fever pitch. He beat out Jacob Elordi, the runner-up the wires had backing at 24.

Turner's odds swung hard all week before settling, with $1.3 million riding on the field. Elordi doubled his own number to 24. The rest of the pack — Tom Holland, Cillian Murphy, Charlie Hunnam — never cracked single digits.

Now comes the part no market can price: the film itself. Producers have kept the reboot under lock. Observers say the choice signals a leaner, colder Bond. The gun barrel turns on a new man.

Source: Kalshi · 37% probabilityView market ↗