Vol. I2026-07-18prediction markets edition

The Future Times

Sports · From the edition of Jul 18, 2026

14%certain · PolymarketWrong ✗resolved on Jul 20, 2026

SCHEFFLER SEIZES THE CLARET JUG

as the world No. 1 outlasts a wide-open field to take the 2026 Open Championship

SCHEFFLER SEIZES THE CLARET JUG
Scottie Scheffler wins the 2026 Open Championship.says the market

CARNOUSTIE, July 19 — Scottie Scheffler is the champion golfer of the year, an outcome traders priced at just 14 per cent. In a tournament with no runaway favourite, the world No. 1 proved the steadiest hand on the links.

The field looked flat open. Bryson DeChambeau drew the second-heaviest backing at 8 per cent, Tommy Fleetwood 7, and defending storylines around Rory McIlroy faded to 3.

Scheffler's edge was margin, not certainty — six points clear of the pack. He converted it. The wires call it the quiet mark of a No. 1 who wins when nobody agrees he should.

Source: Polymarket · 14% probabilityView market ↗