Culture · From the edition of Jul 18, 2026
✳ Dated FRIDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2027 ✳
31%certain · Kalshi
CRUISE GRABS BEST ACTOR AT LAST
as the action star trades stunts for a statuette that eluded him for four decades
HOLLYWOOD, March 15 — Tom Cruise finally holds an acting Oscar, an outcome traders priced at just 31 per cent. The perennial nominee edged a crowded field to claim Best Actor.
The race was tight. Matt Damon trailed close behind at 29 per cent, with Andrew Scott a distant third. On the wires, the margin looked less like a coronation than a photo finish.
For Cruise, it closes a long chase. He has jumped from buildings and clung to planes for forty years, yet the statuette stayed out of reach — until now.
Source: Kalshi · 31% probability — View market ↗