Culture · From the edition of Jul 19, 2026
✳ Dated TUESDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2030 ✳
TATE GUILTY IN ROMANIAN TRAFFICKING TRIAL
the manosphere's loudest voice is convicted in the verdict traders had long leaned toward

BUCHAREST, Dec. 31 — Andrew Tate was found guilty of sex trafficking, an outcome the wires had priced at 56 per cent. The verdict closes a case that dragged for years across Romanian courtrooms and a million group chats.
The former kickboxer built an empire selling dominance to young men. Prosecutors said he ran something uglier: women moved and coerced for profit. The court sided with prosecutors.
His arrest in 2022 became a livestream event, his denials a genre unto themselves. Traders watched the file grind forward and bet the conviction would stick. Observers say the appeals are only beginning.
Source: Manifold · 56% probability — View market ↗