Vol. I2026-07-19prediction markets edition

The Future Times

Culture · From the edition of Jul 19, 2026

56%certain · Manifold

TATE GUILTY IN ROMANIAN TRAFFICKING TRIAL

the manosphere's loudest voice is convicted in the verdict traders had long leaned toward

TATE GUILTY IN ROMANIAN TRAFFICKING TRIAL
Andrew Tate is found guilty of sex trafficking in Romaniasays the market

BUCHAREST, Dec. 31 — Andrew Tate was found guilty of sex trafficking, an outcome the wires had priced at 56 per cent. The verdict closes a case that dragged for years across Romanian courtrooms and a million group chats.

The former kickboxer built an empire selling dominance to young men. Prosecutors said he ran something uglier: women moved and coerced for profit. The court sided with prosecutors.

His arrest in 2022 became a livestream event, his denials a genre unto themselves. Traders watched the file grind forward and bet the conviction would stick. Observers say the appeals are only beginning.

Source: Manifold · 56% probabilityView market ↗