Vol. I2026-07-19prediction markets edition

The Future Times

Science · From the edition of Jul 19, 2026

78%certain · Kalshi

PSILOCYBIN CLEARS FDA FOR DEPRESSION

Compass Pathways' COMP360 becomes the first psychedelic approved for treatment-resistant patients

PSILOCYBIN CLEARS FDA FOR DEPRESSION
FDA approves psilocybin for treatment-resistant depressionsays the market

WASHINGTON, July 1 — The FDA approved psilocybin for treatment-resistant depression on Thursday, an outcome traders had priced at 78 per cent. The magic-mushroom compound is now a prescription drug.

The molecule is COMP360, a synthetic version of the chemical that gives mushrooms their kick. Compass Pathways spent years running trials on patients who had failed everything else. The wires called it a turning point.

Delivery comes with guardrails: a single dose, taken in a clinic, with a therapist in the room. Millions have run out of options. As of Thursday, they have one more.

Source: Kalshi · 78% probabilityView market ↗